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setting a realistic share price limit



There are certain factors that all traders (novice or seasoned) should consider before setting a price limit on orders to "pay no more than" or "sell no less than".

Daily price levels - what range have the shares been trading in?
Charts - are the shares trending up or down?
Liquidity - how often are the shares traded?
Time of day - is the market open or closed?



Daily price levels

Last: the most recent on market trade of the day
High: the highest on market trade of the day
Low: the lowest on market trade of the day
Close: the final on market trade of the day

The "last traded", "high", "low" and "close" prices are useful indicators because they can portray a sense of market sentiment for a share over a trading day.

Look at the spread (difference) between these prices to get an idea of the prices that other traders have been prepared to pay/accept for their shares. Does your price limit sit in a similar region to theirs?

In the example below, what are the chances of an order to sell at $5.00 being met if the highest traded price at 4:00pm was $4.50?
Can you reasonably expect the company's share price to increase by $0.50 (11%) in the last hour of trading, or are you happy to wait for the price to (not necessarily) reach this level?

Last VWAP Buy Sell High Low First Volume Value
446 ^6 (1.3%) 445 445 446 450 439 440 200,000 $890,000
19/05 - 16:00

VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price represents the average price a security trades at over the market date by total volume at each price.



Charts

The charts on Direct Broking's website can be used to illustrate the performance of a share over 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 or 36 months.  Charts are the preferred method of evaluation for some traders as they give a visual representation of share performance, rather than just a list of numbers.

For example, if you were planning to sell shares at a limit of $2.00 and the chart you are reviewing shows a sharp downward trend - from $5.00 in January down to less than $1.00 in May - then you may need to investigate the reason(s) for this downward trend and reconsider your original price limit.


Super Charts

Direct Broking also offers a "Super Charts" function that extends the standard Quick Quote charting functions to help you get more out of your chart-based research.

Experienced traders will use "Super Charts" to get a view of the progress and momentum of a share, to compare volatility, to view the support and resistance levels of a share and also to compare closing prices against price ranges.

Read the Super Charts online tutorial.



Liquidity

Some shares on the market are not as frequently traded as others - they are "illiquid". Setting a limit price on an order for illiquid shares requires careful consideration and, possibly, a lot of patience!

You may notice that the "buy" and "sell" prices for an illiquid share may be widely spread and that the "last traded" price may not have occured in the previous trading day(s).

In the example below, what are the chances of an order to buy at $5.20 being filled? With an illiquid share that hasn't traded for quite a few days, you would need to investigate further - check the depth and/or check a chart for the last 1-3 months of trading.


Last VWAP Buy Sell High Low First Volume Value
540     535 560          
26/05 - 11:10

VWAP: Volume Weighted Average Price represents the average price a security trades at over the market date by total volume at each price.

You also need to be aware that your order may not trade within the 4 week NZ market expiration period and you may need to re-place it when it expires, possibly at a revised limit price.

If you are trading illiquid shares, it is important that you monitor the performance of the share to ensure that your price limit is kept within a reasonable range of the daily market prices.



Time of day - "at market" orders

When submitting an "at market" order, you are requesting that the buy/sell order be placed at the best available offer/bid price at the time the order is entered into the market. Please note, an "at market" order does not necessarily mean that the order will be traded in full.

For example, if you wish to purchase 10,000 shares "at market" and the top seller at $2.00 only has 7,000 shares available, you will purchase 7,000 shares at $2.00 and the remainder of your order will be placed at the top of the buy queue - 3,000 to buy at $2.00. The remainder of your order (3,000 shares) will not be purchased from the next seller in the sell queue unless you amend your order. Please note: If you need to amend your "at market" order more than once to trade the remaining quantity, you will NOT be charged brokerage each time you amend.

Traders need to remember than an order to buy or sell "at market" is best placed during OPEN market hours, as opposed to placing an "at market" order when the market is not actually trading ("pre-open" or "pre-close" hours).

Please avoid placing an "at market" order when the market is not open.

NZX pre-open 9:00 - 10:00am
>> NZX OPEN 10:00am - 4:45pm
NZX pre-close 4:45pm - 5:00pm
NZX close 5:00pm

ASX pre-open 9:00am - 12:00pm (NZT)
>> ASX OPEN 12:00 - 6:00pm (NZT)
ASX pre-close 6:00 - 6:15pm (NZT)
ASX close 6:15pm (NZT)



A final note: US/UK Custodial Orders

US/UK Custodial Orders are "good for day" orders. That means that if they have not traded at the end of the trading day in the relevant market, they will be removed from the market and listed as "Expired" in your orders screen. If the order has partially traded, the remaining quantity will be removed from the market and you will only pay brokerage on the quantity that has traded.

NOTE: NZ orders remain in the market for up to 4 weeks and AU orders for up to 3 weeks.

Custodial traders may not be able to re-place their expired orders every day, so should try to set their price limit at a realistic and reasonable level to give them a higher chance of their order being partially or completely filled before the end of the trading day.




Before you click "Submit"...


Carefullly consider the price limit you have placed -

  • Is it in range?
  • Is it reasonable?
  • Is it realistic?
  • Is it achievable?
  • Are you prepared to monitor the market and adjust the price if necessary?


If you need further clarification or assistance, please do not hesistate to contact our team of Dealers between 8:30am and 6:00pm.

> 0800 805 777
> help@directbroking.co.nz
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